Horse racing ideas: Fakenham, Chelmsford and Kempton, Tuesday November 19th
Tuesday’s suggestions see our nap contesting a battle of the front-runners and a relatively uncommon, however probably rewarding Karl Burke sortie to Chelmsford.
A busy Tuesday of racing is in retailer with motion over the jumps coming from Fakenham, Lingfield Park and Fairyhouse in Ireland, whereas there are all climate offerings from Kempton and Chelmsford City (evening).
Odds said are right at the time of publishing, and are topic to change.
Paddy’s day for in-form Gifford yard
Just six runners will line up in the Weatherbys VAT Services Handicap Chase over an prolonged two-miles but there could be likely to be no scarcity of keen front-runners with Paddy’s Poem (Fakenham 3:10) becoming a member of Master Vintage and Pull Together in exhibiting a liking for pace-setting.
Master Vintage is the one which turns up right here in rude well being, having landed novice handicaps at Market Rasen and Huntingdon just lately after a return to the front-running techniques that yielded his lone success over timber at Leicester back in the early knockings of 2017.
He is respected therefore however has a 7lb penalty to hold and given the distinct possibility of a contested lead, might not get issues all his personal way.
Pull Together is a keen type but that tactic confirmed few signs of paying off in three starts last season over fences and so he’s again overlooked, bar for his attainable chance of playing a task by racing prominently.
The Nick Gifford staff are in flying type, with a 33 per-cent strike-rate from nine runners over the last fortnight. James Davies has carried out well for the yard of late, along with his 18 per-cent strike-rate for the stable considerably forward of his general profession document for the Gifford team.
A 7/2 shot right now, Paddy’s Poem took a while adjusting to chasing final season but he gained two of his last three begins and finished second at Stratford in between these Huntingdon wins.
Despite a bent to clatter the ultimate fence, the eight-year-old showed guts in gaining these successes.
He should have extra to come this winter and with the yard in kind, could probably be up to a winning return if Davies can keep his powder dry and let the other confirmed frontrunners do the leg work.
Asmund going the best way
Karl Burke’s had fewer runners on the Polytrack at Chelmsford over the previous 12 months (ten) than on the other All Weather circuits he frequents, but his strike-rate on the Essex venue (20 per-cent, with one other 4 of those 10 in the frame) is forward of these other venues, aside from Southwell (marginally).
Asmund (Chelmsford four:15) gained a deserved success at Newcastle in a 6f novice event last trip.
The Zebedee gelding had beforehand made the body in six of his seven starts and was given a no-nonsense ride in front as he comfortably justified favouritism at Gosforth Park in the arms of Ben Curtis.
He had beforehand run on well from the rear to complete a close third in a 7f handicap at Wolverhampton on his All Weather bow underneath Clifford Lee in the center of final month.
This is a extra demanding problem and he’ll need to show himself as helpful on the Polytrack having twice gone properly on Tapeta.
However, 12/1 Asmund can supply extra after having his confidence boosted with that all-the-way win 15 days in the past and a putting looks good worth at 12/5.
AW return for Humbert
David O’Meara’s Humbert (Kempton 2:20) hasn’t sparkled in two starts back from a break on turf, though he was unlikely to be suited on delicate ground last outing at Newmarket.
A return to the synthetic floor at Kempton, where he is a earlier C&D winner, could presumably be the ticket to see him bouncing again now.
The son of Kodiac received 4 of six begins on the All Weather when skilled by Hugo Palmer and will be making his first foray into this sphere since becoming a member of the O’Meara staff.
The five-year-old twice received round right here within the early part of 2018 and also boasts successes at Wolverhampton and Newcastle on his report.
He is now rated 5lb decrease than when he scored that nearly all current AW success in June 2018 and, after failing to impress in 4 begins on turf this year, at 20/1 is presumably being missed within the betting back on the venue where he does best.